Trump has nothing but respect for his president.
Photo: Jeff Roberson/AP
On Friday morning, the president of the United States announced that America was suffering from a national emergency, that invaders were pouring across its southern border — and that Rush Limbaugh is a “great guy” who can “speak for three hours without taking a phone call; try doing that some time!”
That last declaration wasn’t nearly as much of a non sequitur as one would hope. Donald Trump’s decision to override the will of Congress — and unilaterally fund his border wall through a fictitious emergency — was the direct product of his affection for conservative media personalities. On Tuesday night, Sean Hannity told his viewers that he could tolerate Trump signing a bipartisan spending bill that lacked funding for “the wall,” so long as the president simultaneously used an emergency order to unilaterally finance his signature policy. Three days later, Trump did exactly that.
Some have interpreted the president’s obsessive interest in – and deference towards – right-wing media as strategic. According to this view, the president believes that his reelection hopes hinge on maintaining the enthusiasm of his base. Therefore, he strains to please the right’s most trusted infotainers.
But this assessment isn’t quite right. Trump doesn’t use Fox News merely as a thermometer for his base, but rather, as a window onto the entire world. Our president has access to the most powerful intelligence apparatus ever assembled by humankind — but still gets much of his of his information about foreign affairs from Fox & Friends.
In truth, the primary reason Trump pays such meticulous attention to far-right media — and so little to more reliable sources of information about political and empirical reality — is that nothing is more real to him than what he sees on television.
The mogul built his entire career around the premise that how a thing is perceived is infinitely more important than what it “actually” is. If enough people believe that your name is synonymous with business success, you can turn that perception into best-selling books, lucrative licensing agreements, and hit TV shows — no matter how much inherited wealth you wasted on misbegotten enterprises. In this sense, Trump’s faith in the supreme importance of spectacle might look savvy. But by most accounts, it’s less of a strategic choice than a helpless compulsion: The man is obsessed with seeing his reflection in mass media, and prizes publicity as an end in itself.
In the 1980s and 1990s, this obsession led him to court headlines in the tabloids and mainstream press. In the new millennium, like so many others in his demographic, Trump began ditching the vegetables (or at least starches) in his media diet for Fox News’s red meat. The mogul ceased living in a world that revolved around high-society gossip, CNN, and the New York Times, and began occupying a universe populated by knockout gamers, Kenyan presidents, and murderous illegals. Trump seamlessly adapted to his new ecosystem. Advertising his sexual exploits might have earned him attention in his old tabloid habitat; but he recognized that, in these new confines, promoting racial paranoia was the ticket. The mogul adopted the birther cause with an eye toward winning the adulation of his new community. He designed his presidential campaign around the same objective.
And in the peculiar context of a Republican primary, campaigning for a government of the Sean Hannity superfans, by the Sean Hannity superfans, and for the Sean Hannity superfans was indeed politically wise. Most aspects of Trump’s putative populism were transparently fraudulent. But he was a more authentic member of the Fox News–addict community than any presidential candidate in history. Other Republicans might have been fluent in the language of the far-right fever swamp, but only Trump was a native speaker. Jeb Bush read white papers, and gave speeches at D.C. think tanks. Trump watched Hannity and shouted at his television. The billionaire might have lived in material conditions more opulent than his supporters could ever imagine. But in one small — but real and visceral — sense, Trump and the Republican base lived in the same world.
And yet, if Trump’s narcissistic obsession with studying his own face in the mirror of right-wing media helped him win the presidency, it might very well cost him a second term. And for a very simple reason: Sean Hannity is not actually the voice of the Republican base, he just plays one on TV.
There are some conservative voters who trust Hannity and Limbaugh more than they love Trump. But such true believers are much louder than they are numerous. As Nate Silver demonstrates, Trump’s approval rating among Republicans remained (essentially) steady throughout the entire shutdown affair. When it looked like the president was going to acquiesce to a wall-less continuing resolution in December — and the right-wing media was throwing daily tantrums — roughly 88 percent of GOP voters approved of his job performance. When he did what the television told him to, and shut down the government, roughly 88 percent of GOP voters approved of his job performance. When he blinked before Nancy Pelosi did, reopened the government, and broke Ann Coulter’s heart, roughly 88 percent of GOP voters approved of his job performance.
Which is to say: One of the defining characteristics of Donald Trump’s base is that it is strongly disinclined to revise its views of Donald Trump, in response to new information. His concern with losing his base’s affections, on the basis of a critical monologue from Sean Hannity, is utterly irrational. Not only does he stand to lose little from the cable host’s critiques, but he is sure to have Hannity’s support when he actually needs it. In 2019, right-wing infotainers need to mine intra-Republican divisions for drama. In 2020, their guns will all be pointed squarely at whatever communistic, cop-hating, flag-disrespecting, reverse racist the Democratic Party chooses to nominate.
Trump doesn’t need to worry about mobilizing his base in 2020. He already proved as much last year: Republican turnout in the 2018 midterms was remarkably strong, particularly for a party with full control of the federal government. It just wasn’t strong enough to overwhelm the Democratic Party’s 12-point advantage with independents.
And unlike the Trumpen proletariat, independent voters’ views of the president do actually vary in response to his actions. His approval among that cohort declined sharply during the government shutdown, and then rebounded in its wake.
Now that figure is poised to decline once again. Declaring a national emergency in order to build a monument to American xenophobia may play well with Limbaugh listeners, but roughly 65 percent of the public opposes the idea in opinion polls. And the fact that many prominent Republican lawmakers are unwilling to endorse the move will likely fortify swing voters’ opposition.
To be sure, if voters forgave and forgot a five-week shutdown in a matter of days, they probably won’t remember this national emergency in November 2020. But Trump’s biggest problem isn’t that he might permanently squander his existing support among independents; it’s that his existing support among independents is too low to win reelection. If the president wished to put crass political self-interest above all else, he would have declared victory on “the wall” the minute Pelosi offered him some bollard fencing, and then pushed to raise the federal minimum wage to $10 an hour, and to pass the infrastructure package that Hillary Clinton ran on in 2016. Which is to say: He would have forced Democrats to help him pass very popular, modestly progressive policies that do not threaten the core interests of the GOP donor class.
But our president would rather take orders from Sean Hannity. And in the long run, we may all be better off for it.
Trump Declared an Emergency Because He’s a Fox News Addict
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As New York’s David Wallace-Wells puts it, “Sometimes it almost feels like western intuitions of climate doom are just projections of imperial decline.”
China is taking its renewable energy push to new heights, with scientists revealing plans to build the first solar power station in space.
A solar power station orbiting the earth at 36,000 kilometres could tap the energy of the sun’s rays without interference from the atmosphere, or seasonal and night-time loss of sunlight, Chinese media reported.
A researcher from the China Academy of Space Technology Corporation, Pang Zhihao, said a space solar power station held the promise of providing “an inexhaustible source of clean energy for humans”.
It could reliably supply energy 99 per cent of the time, at six-times the intensity of solar farms on earth, he said.
The next step will be a Megawatt-level space solar power station, slated for construction in 2030.
The legal challenges to Trump’s national emergency are rolling in
We believe your declaration of an emergency shows a reckless disregard for the separation of powers and your own responsibilities under our constitutional system. The Constitution vests the Congress with the power of the purse and expressly provides that “no money shall be drawn from the Treasury, but in consequence of appropriations made by law.” Congress has entrusted you and your predecessors with emergency authority in order to respond quickly and effectively to real crises, such as wars and disasters.
The Judiciary Committee, which has jurisdiction over the National Emergenices Act, did so based on an understanding that the President would “tae care that the laws be faithfully executed” and would resort to this authority only when absolutelly necessary. By fabricating an emergency in order to bypass the political process for allocating a budget, you appear to be abusing both this trust and your own oath of office.
Harris secures an important home-state endorsement
Any press is good press?
Photo: Media Matters
Mueller Recommends Paul Manafort Receive Up to 24 Years in Prison
By Matt Stieb
Unfortunately for Manafort’s chances of ever getting out of prison, this recommended sentence only deals with his financial convictions in Virginia.
Trump’s emergency declaration faces its first court hurdle
A consumer advocacy group filed the first lawsuit late Friday challenging President Donald Trump’s national emergency declaration, suing on behalf of Texas landowners and an environmental group who say they’ll be affected by border wall construction.
The case, filed by Public Citizen in federal district court in Washington, DC, is the first of what are expected to be multiple lawsuits challenging Trump’s unprecedented decision to declare a national emergency in order to access $3.6 billion in military construction funds to pay for more sections of the wall he promised to build along the US–Mexico border.
Public Citizen is arguing the president exceeded his authority under the federal National Emergencies Act because there is no emergency at the southern border, and that his declaration of a national emergency in order to build the wall violates the separation of powers — essentially, that it’s unconstitutional for Trump to declare an emergency because Congress already refused to appropriate the money.
Public Citizen is one of several groups that have announced plans to sue the administration, but are the first to file. House Democrats are considering going to court to challenge the emergency, as are Democratic attorneys general. At a press conference Friday, California Attorney General Xavier Becerra said his office was likely to pursue legal action.
Key sections from Mueller’s sentencing recommendation for Paul Manafort
The defendant stands convicted of the serious crimes of tax fraud, bank fraud, and failing to file a foreign bank account report. Manafort was the lead perpetrator and a direct beneficiary of each offense. And while some of these offenses are commonly prosecuted, there was nothing ordinary about the millions of dollars involved in the defendant’s crimes, the duration of his criminal conduct, or the sophistication of his schemes.
Together with the relevant criminal conduct, Manafort’s misconduct involved more than $16 million in unreported income resulting in more than $6 million in federal taxes owed, more than $55 million hidden in foreign bank accounts, and more than $25 million secured from financial institutions through lies resulting in a fraud loss of more than $6 million.
Manafort did not commit these crimes out of necessity or hardship. He was well educated, professionally successful, and financially well off. He nonetheless cheated the United States Treasury and the public out of more than $6 million in taxes at a time when he had substantial resources. Manafort committed bank fraud to supplement his liquidity because his lavish spending exhausted his substantial cash resources when his overseas income dwindled.
Special counsel recommends Manafort receive a sentence somewhere between 19.5 to 24.5 years, potentially putting him in prison until he is 93
You Can’t Stop a Power Grab by Fact Checking It
By Sarah Jones
Trump’s national emergency stems from an ideological problem, and it won’t be fixed by fact checking.
China has its own fascinating relationship with debt
William Weld and the Strange Allure of No-Hope Primary Challenges
By Ed Kilgore
So many people think Trump ought to have a primary challenger that they’ll exaggerate the importance of anyone who shows up.
The House Oversight Committee chairman believes Trump’s attorneys may have lied about Cohen’s payments to women alleging they had affairs with the president
“It now appears that President Trump’s other attorneys — at the White House and in private practice — may have provided false information about these payments to federal officials,” [Elijiah] Cummings (D-Md.) wrote in a letter to White House Counsel Pat Cipollone.
Cummings named Sheri Dillon and Stefan Passantino as the two attorneys who might have made false statements to the Office of Government Ethics (OGE), citing documents the committee obtained from the office.
According to Cummings, Dillon “repeatedly stated to federal officials at OGE that President Trump never owed any money to Mr. Cohen in 2016 and 2017.” Passantino, who served as deputy White House counsel for compliance and ethics, reportedly told OGE that Trump and Cohen had a “retainer agreement” — a claim that was later contradicted by federal prosecutors in the Southern District of New York.
The 9/11 fund is running out of money and victims will suffer
The September 11th Victim Compensation Fund plans to cut future payouts in half — and in some cases by as much as 70 percent — as it struggles with a surge of new claims from those who have gotten sick and the families of those who have died, officials announced Friday.
The fund was opened by the federal government in 2011 to compensate for deaths and illnesses linked to toxic exposure at the World Trade Center, the Pentagon, and in Shanksville, Pa., after terrorists crashed four hijacked airliners in 2001. To date, the $7.3 billion fund has paid about $5 billion to roughly 21,000 claimants. About 700 were for deaths that occurred long after the attacks.
Four injured in Aurora, Illinois shooting
Multiple people have been injured at a manufacturing plant in Aurora, Illinois, on Friday and a shooter has been apprehended, authorities said.
Officers responded to reports of an active shooter at the Henry Pratt Company, the city announced just after 2 p.m. CST. The Aurora Police Department tweeted at 3:30 p.m. that the situation “has been secured. Shooter is no longer a threat to the area.”
At least two patients have been admitted at Amita Health/Presence Mercy Medical Center, the hospital told NBC News. There is no information on their conditions yet.
Another two patients are being treated at Rush Copley hospital with non-life threatening injuries.
Heartbreaking: The worst person you know just made a great point
Look, the only national emergency is that our president is an idiot.
Kamala Harris lands a big endorsement
Dolores Huerta, the iconic labor and civil rights leader who co-founded what became the United Farm Workers, is endorsing Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) for president, according to a statement shared first with POLITICO.
Huerta, who started the National Farmworkers Association alongside the late Cesar Chavez, is also signing onto Harris’ campaign as a California co-chair, joining Rep. Barbara Lee, a former Congressional Black Caucus chair, who endorsed Harris on Wednesday.
Huerta’s backing is a significant development in the early stages of the 2020 campaign and gives the California senator a leading voice in the labor movement and among Latinos nationally.
Sarah Sanders joins the club
Special counsel Robert Mueller’s team has interviewed White House press secretary Sarah Sanders, she told CNN on Friday.
“The President urged me, like he has everyone in the administration, to fully cooperate with the special counsel. I was happy to voluntarily sit down with them,” Sanders said in response to a question from CNN.
The interview is one of the final known interviews by Mueller’s team. It came around the same time as the special counsel interviewed former White House chief of staff John Kelly, well after a number of other senior officials, including former White House communications director Hope Hicks and former press secretary Sean Spicer, were brought in for questioning.
Even If You Delete Your Account, Twitter Doesn’t Delete Your DMs
By Madison Malone Kircher
A new report from a security researcher might make you think twice about your messages.
Roger Stone ordered to shut up
BREAKING: GAG ORDER on Roger Stone’s criminal case, per judge. No statements can be made by lawyers involved. Nobody including Stone can speak about the case around the courthouse. Stone isn’t restricted as generally as his lawyers
national emergency declaration
national emergency declaration
Trump Declared a National Emergency Because He’s a Fox News Addict
By Eric Levitz
With his emergency declaration, Trump prioritized pleasing Sean Hannity over appealing to swing voters. That is an idiotic 2020 strategy.
Colin Kaepernick strikes a deal with the NFL
Former San Francisco 49ers quarterback Colin Kaepernick and Carolina Panthers safety Eric Reid have reached a settlement with the NFL concerning their collusion grievances against the league, it was announced Friday.
“For the past several months, counsel for Mr. Kaepernick and Mr. Reid have engaged in an ongoing dialogue with representatives of the NFL,” attorney Mark Geragos and the NFL said a joint statement issued Friday. “As a result of those discussions, the parties have decided to resolve the pending grievances. The resolution of this matter is subject to a confidentiality agreement so there will be no further comment by any party.”
Kaepernick filed a grievance last fall under the collective bargaining agreement alleging collusion against signing him to an NFL contract.
British students walk out to protest inaction on climate change
Thousands of schoolchildren and young people have walked out of classes to join a UK-wide climate strike amid growing anger at the failure of politicians to tackle the escalating ecological crisis.
Organisers said more than 10,000 young people in at least 60 towns and cities from the Scottish Highlands to Cornwall joined the strike, defying threats of detention to voice their frustration at the older generation’s inaction on the environmental impact of climate change.
Anna Taylor, 17, one of the most prominent voices to emerge from the new movement, said the turnout had been overwhelming. “It goes some way to proving that young people aren’t apathetic, we’re passionate, articulate and we’re ready to continue demonstrating the need for urgent and radical climate action.”
Why these people spent Valentine’s Day with Howard Schultz
“We bought these tickets before he said he might run. We’re not fans. I’m definitely not broadcasting that I’m here on social media; I’m anonymous,” said Courtney Adams, a nanny who had driven almost three hours with her sister-in-law to be here because she didn’t want to eat the ticket. “I mentioned we bought these tickets before he said he might run for office, right?”
“Valentine’s Day is always a disaster,” said Tom Sheeran, sitting beside his date, Theresa Harrison, in a center pew. “Restaurants are always crowded, roses are expensive, people are miserable, so how could this be any worse?”
“My wife’s in Ethiopia. and I didn’t have any plans for Valentine’s Day, so why not?” Selcuk Karaoglan said. “But I don’t really even like Starbucks.”
the top line
Don’t Worry About a Recession. Yet.
By Josh Barro
New retail data shows a slowdown by consumers. But how does that square with red-hot job numbers?
national emergency declaration
national emergency declaration
Trump Counting on Supreme Court to Vindicate His Emergency Declaration
By Ed Kilgore
Trump did the legal case for his emergency declaration no good in his rambling press appearance announcing it.
The border crisis is fake, but the military housing crisis is real
Deeply troubled by military housing conditions exposed by Reuters reporting, the U.S. Army’s top leadership vowed Friday to renegotiate its housing contracts with private real estate firms, test tens of thousands of homes for toxins and hold its own commanders responsible for protecting Army base residents from dangerous homes. …
The Reuters reporting described rampant mold and pest infestations, childhood lead poisoning, and service families often powerless to challenge private landlords in business with their military employers. Many families said they feared retaliation if they spoke out. The news agency described hazards across Army, Navy, Air Force and Marine Corps base housing communities.
Here’s where Trump’s getting his border wall money
In addition to $1.375 billion included in the bill passed by Congress, Trump plans to draw money from a mixture of drug forfeiture funds, military projects and other accounts.
Trump is eyeing about $600 million from a Treasury Department drug forfeiture fund and $2.5 billion from a Defense Department drug interdiction program, according to officials.
In addition, the president wants to use $3.6 billion in military construction funds to help build his new border barriers.